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April 06, 2013

Comments

RK

I keep reading how WHO says "no proof of H2H spread".
I'd like to see proof of NO H2H spread. Where is the widespread testing of Humans? I see them testing animals and birds... why not people?

Why isn't WHO on the ground in China? So we have to take China's word on this? We know how that worked out in 2003.

When they say contacts show no abnormalities, have they done actual testing on them? Why don't we have results for the 2 suspected patients in Hong Kong?? How long does this test take? Are they waiting for Tamiflu induced negatives before announcing?

Jody Lanard M.D.

Thanks for the comment, RK. I'll respond conversationally.

RK: I keep reading how WHO says "no proof of H2H spread". I'd like to see proof of NO H2H spread.

JL: That would be nice. But it's hard to prove a negative. Usually the best you can get is repeated failure to find a positive, after intense searches, by reputable, highly-skilled and trustworthy disease detectives who are given wide-open access.

RK: Where is the widespread testing of Humans? I see them testing animals and birds... why not people?

JL: I just read today that China is starting more widespread human testing, beyond the provinces where confirmed cases have been found. Can't vouch for it myself, obviously.

RK: Why isn't WHO on the ground in China?

JL: I promise you, WHO is DYING to get an international team on the ground. All that fluff in the media about "WHO is considering sending a team" is code for: "When the @#%$#^@ are they gonna let us in?"

RK: So we have to take China's word on this? We know how that worked out in 2003.

JL: You took China's word for it in 2003? Did you notice you were the only one?

RK: When they say contacts show no abnormalities, ... Are they waiting for Tamiflu induced negatives before announcing?

JL: I also cannot prove a negative. But I have seen absolutely no evidence of the "secret Tamiflu blanket" phenomenon described on some blogs that make my skepticism look like naive credulity. I have not met a single expert or insider of any sort who thinks that has been going on -- or that it would be likely to work, if it were tried. And in this case, the horse is long since out of the barn. There's no "remote Thai village" with a small "outbreak" to smother with Tamiflu.

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